Biased coins a model for higher-order probabilities
pp. 241-248
Abstrakt
Is it coherent to speak of the probability of a probability, and the probability of a probability of a probability, and so on? We show that it is, in the sense that a regress of higher-order probabilities can lead to convergent sequences that determine all these probabilities. By constructing an implementable model which is based on coin-making machines, we demonstrate the consistency of our regress.
Publication details
Published in:
Galavotti Maria Carla, Nemeth Elisabeth, Stadler Friedrich (2014) European philosophy of science: philosophy of science in europe and the Viennese heritage. Dordrecht, Springer.
Seiten: 241-248
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-01899-7_17
Referenz:
Peijnenburg Jeanne, Atkinson David (2014) „Biased coins a model for higher-order probabilities“, In: M. Galavotti, E. Nemeth & F. Stadler (eds.), European philosophy of science, Dordrecht, Springer, 241–248.